Voting was held for assembly elections in Maharashtra, Jharkhand, by-elections to 15 seats in 5 states and by-elections to one Lok Sabha seat. The Election Commission said that 65.08 per cent voting took place in Maharashtra while 68.45 per cent voting took place in Jharkhand. The commission said it does not include postal ballots and complete data is not available from many polling stations. The atmosphere was heated in both the states but the voting was peaceful. There were no reports of any kind of violence or tension from anywhere. After voting in any election, people are most interested in knowing who they voted for? Who will win? Who will be the government? There is only one measure to know this, exit polls. But exit polls have been proven wrong so many times that it’s hard to say anything.
Exit polls of many agencies have come up. Generally speaking, all exit polls agree that the NDA will form the government in both Maharashtra and Jharkhand. BJP will emerge as the single largest party in both the states. The reality will be known only on 23rd November. Exit polls have very little credibility these days. Exit polls proved wrong in both the Lok Sabha elections and the Haryana elections in our country. Even in America, opinion polls and exit polls were showing a great fight between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. All proved wrong. Trump won by a landslide but the audience is still interested in the exit polls.
According to exit polls, BJP and its allies may form the government in Maharashtra. The opposite happened in the Lok Sabha elections. Mahavikas Aghadi won more seats there. That is why when the assembly elections started, the victory of the BJP alliance was considered difficult, but the Shinde government organized a fair of welfare schemes and then people started saying that the situation has changed. If the exit polls of Maharashtra turn out to be true, this will prove true.
Similarly, when Hemant Soren was sent to jail in Jharkhand, people were saying that BJP had made a big mistake. Hemant Soren will get sympathy votes in the assembly elections but this is not reflected in the exit polls. If the exit polls prove to be true, it seems that people were upset with the Hemant Soren government and the anti-incumbency factor is working against them. Another thing is that this time BJP formed a strong alliance and contested the elections together. There may have been gains, but all these speculations, conjectures, on November 23 we will know who won, who lost, whose government formed and whose government lost. (Rajat Sharma)
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